Gremio

Wednesday night Serie A action at the Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, where table-topping Botafogo face a Gremio side still searching for consistency. The market makes the hosts strong favourites, and with both clubs' recent scorelines painting a chaotic picture, this one has the feel of an open, goal-heavy affair rather than a cagey stalemate. Bet365 make Botafogo strong favourites at 1.73 (implied ~57.8%), and the underlying shot numbers back that read — they average 1.22 expected goals and over five shots on target per game across nineteen outings, comfortably ahead of Gremio's 0.99 xG and 3.63 shots on target.