Galatasaray

Friday night under the lights at Rams Park, and the Süper Lig serves up a fixture that looks straightforward on paper. Galatasaray are the market's strong favourites at 1.25 (implied ~80%), while Kasımpaşa arrive as 11.0 outsiders. But the goals data tells a far more interesting story than the 1X2 prices suggest. The market makes Galatasaray overwhelming favourites at 1.25 (implied ~80%), and the shot profile emphatically agrees — they're averaging 2.37 expected goals, 7.67 shots on target and nearly 23 total shots per game, against Kasımpaşa's 1.14 xG and 3.33 on target.