Kortrijk

Saturday evening under the lights at Cegeka Arena, and the Jupiler Pro League serves up a fixture the market sees as thoroughly one-sided. Genk are strong favourites at 1.42 (implied ~70%), Kortrijk out at 6.00 and the draw 4.50 — a mismatch on paper that the underlying numbers largely echo. Genk at 1.42 carry an implied 70% and that lean looks well-founded: their shot profile averages 1.78 expected goals and nearly five shots on target per game, against Kortrijk's 0.69 xG and under three on target.