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ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

2026-04-13 19:00 UTC

Match Centre

Manchester UnitedvsLeeds

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Only 2 picks with sufficient edge found

TOP PICK

Match Result

Home

1.68

Betfred

Edge capped

Model

64.11%

Implied

59.11%

Edge

5.00%

Kelly

11.3%

Stake

£5.00

Model used 64.11% vs implied 59.11%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

1.77

Betfred

Edge capped

Model

60.64%

Implied

55.64%

Edge

5.00%

Kelly

9.5%

Stake

£4.76

Model used 60.64% vs implied 55.64%

No additional
value picks

Match Result

Total Goals

BTTS

Total Goals (1.5)

Total Goals (3.5)

Corners (9.5)

Match Videos

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Head to Head — Manchester United vs Leeds

Manchester United

60% wins

Total meetings

Leeds

0% wins

Manchester United 6 wins (60%)Draws 4 (40%)Leeds 0 wins (0%)

Manchester United vs Leeds's head-to-head record across the last 10 meetings shows that Manchester United has won 6 times, while Leeds has not recorded a win and 4 draws. Manchester United has scored 25 goals and Leeds has scored 8 goals in those games, an average of 3.30 total goals per match.

80% Over 1.5 Goals

8/10 matches

50% Over 2.5 Goals

5/10 matches

40% Over 3.5 Goals

4/10 matches

50% Both Teams To Score

5/10 matches

50% Manchester United Clean Sheets

5/10 matches

20% Leeds Clean Sheets

2/10 matches

Recent Meetings

Latest: 4 Jan 2026

4 Jan 2026
Leeds1 - 1Manchester United
19 Jul 2025
Manchester United0 - 0Leeds
12 Jul 2023
Manchester United2 - 0Leeds
12 Feb 2023
Leeds0 - 2Manchester United
8 Feb 2023
Manchester United2 - 2Leeds
20 Feb 2022
Leeds2 - 4Manchester United

H2H Match Stats (1 matches with data)

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Avg Corners

Avg Yellows

Avg Reds

Avg Booking Pts

H2H Stat	Count	%
Over 9.5 Corners
Over 10.5 Corners
Over 2.5 Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Red Card in Match

Cards & Goal Timing — Season

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Manchester United

(31 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards
Penalties Won

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	5	9%	3	7%
16-30'	7	13%	4	9%
31-45'	10	18%	6	14%
46-60'	10	18%	9	20%
61-75'	9	16%	9	20%
76-90'	14	25%	13	30%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Leeds

(31 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards
Penalties Won

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	5	13%	4	9%
16-30'	3	8%	7	15%
31-45'	11	29%	5	11%
46-60'	5	13%	9	19%
61-75'	7	18%	9	19%
76-90'	7	18%	13	28%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Booking Points Analysis

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

	Manchester United	Leeds
Avg Booking Pts / Game
Red Card Probability

Combined Match Estimate

Most Booking Points

Red Card in Match

Compare the combined estimate against the bookmaker line. E.g. if the line is 37.5 and the estimate is 42.0, the data suggests Over.

Over/Under Cards — Per Match History

Manchester United (30 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Leeds (30 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Booking Points Distribution (Betfred Ranges)

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

Range	Manchester United	Leeds
0–15 pts
20–35 pts
40–55 pts
60–75 pts
80+ pts

Shot Analysis — Season

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Manchester United

(31 matches)

Shots on Target

Shot Accuracy

xG per Game

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game
Total Shots / Game
Shots Inside Box / Game
xG / Game
Offsides / Game
Fouls / Game

Leeds

(31 matches)

Shots on Target

Shot Accuracy

xG per Game

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game
Total Shots / Game
Shots Inside Box / Game
xG / Game
Offsides / Game
Fouls / Game

Combined Match Analysis

Expected Total Shots

Expected Shots on Target

Combined xG

Shot Dominance

xG Dominance

Expected Offsides

Higher combined shots on target suggest more goal-scoring opportunities. Compare combined xG against the bookmaker's total goals line for value.

Team Insights — Season

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Referee:

Manchester United

(31 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Leeds

(31 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Per-Half Analysis — Season

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Manchester United(15 matches)Stronger 2nd Half

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Leeds(15 matches)Stronger 2nd Half

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Corner Trends — Manchester United vs Leeds

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Season data (31 matches)

Season corner data suggests these sides combine for corners per match.

Home Corners / Match

Away Corners / Match

Manchester United(3)

Season stats (31 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (31 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

Leeds(15)

Season stats (31 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (31 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

Manchester United recent corners

Bournemouth(13)-
Aston Villa(4)-
Newcastle(12)-
Crystal Palace(14)-
Everton(8)-

Leeds recent corners

Brentford(7)-
Crystal Palace(14)-
Sunderland(11)-
Manchester City(2)-
Aston Villa(4)-

All Markets

RESULTS

4 categories

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

2 categories

RESULT BTTS

GOALS

3 categories

Line 0.5

Line 1.5

Line 2.5

Line 3.5

Line 4.5

Line 5.5

CORNERS

1 categories

Line 6.5

Line 7.5

Line 8.5

Line 9.5

Line 10.5

Line 11.5

GOALSCORERS

3 categories

ANYTIMEGOALSCORER

FIRSTGOALSCORER

LASTGOALSCORER

OTHER

14 categories

AWAY HIGHEST HALF

AWAY SCORE 1H

AWAY SCORE 2H

CARDS AWAY TOTLine 1.5

CARDS HOME TOTLine 0.5

CARDSTOTALLine 2.5

HOME HIGHEST HALF

HOME SCORE 1H

HOME SCORE 2H

SCORER ANY AWAY

SCORER FIRST AWAY

SCORER LAST AWAY

YELLOW CARDS 1X2

YELLOW CARDS TOTALLine 2.5

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	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	3.19	3.13	3.25
Over 0.5	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5	87%	80%	94%
Over 2.5	61%	47%	75%
Over 3.5	39%	33%	44%
Over 4.5	19%	27%	13%
Over 5.5	6%	13%	0%

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	3.19	3.13	3.25
Under 0.5	0%	0%	0%
Under 1.5	13%	20%	6%
Under 2.5	39%	53%	25%
Under 3.5	61%	67%	56%
Under 4.5	81%	73%	88%
Under 5.5	94%	87%	100%

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	2.74	2.63	2.87
Under 0.5	13%	13%	13%
Under 1.5	29%	38%	20%
Under 2.5	48%	44%	53%
Under 3.5	61%	63%	60%
Under 4.5	84%	88%	80%
Under 5.5	94%	94%	93%

Line	Over %	Under %	Avg Goals
Over/Under 1.5	79%	21%	3.0 goals/match
Over/Under 2.5	56%	44%
Over/Under 3.5	39%	61%
Over/Under 4.5	18%	82%

Match Statistics

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Match Videos

💬Tipsters Comments