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Markets:••••

CHAMPIONSHIP

2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Match Centre

Stoke CityvsMillwall

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Match Result

Draw

3.50

Betfred

Model

30.44%

Implied

27.61%

Edge

2.82%

Kelly

2.6%

Stake

£1.30

Model used 30.44% vs implied 27.61%

Total Goals

Under 4.5

1.13

Betfred

Model

89.26%

Implied

86.10%

Edge

3.16%

Kelly

6.7%

Stake

£3.33

Model used 89.26% vs implied 86.10%

TOP PICK

BTTS

2.12

Betfred

Edge capped

Model

50.22%

Implied

45.22%

Edge

5.00%

Kelly

5.8%

Stake

£2.88

Model used 50.22% vs implied 45.22%

Match Result

Total Goals

BTTS

Total Goals (1.5)

Total Goals (3.5)

Corners (9.5)

Match Videos

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Head to Head — Stoke City vs Millwall

Stoke City

10% wins

Total meetings

Millwall

70% wins

Stoke City 1 win (10%)Draws 2 (20%)Millwall 7 wins (70%)

Stoke City vs Millwall's head-to-head record across the last 10 meetings shows that Stoke City has won 1 time, while Millwall has won 7 times and 2 draws. Stoke City has scored 5 goals and Millwall has scored 12 goals in those games, an average of 1.70 total goals per match.

60% Over 1.5 Goals

6/10 matches

20% Over 2.5 Goals

2/10 matches

0% Over 3.5 Goals

0/10 matches

30% Both Teams To Score

3/10 matches

20% Stoke City Clean Sheets

2/10 matches

60% Millwall Clean Sheets

6/10 matches

Recent Meetings

Latest: 21 Oct 2025

21 Oct 2025
Millwall2 - 0Stoke City
15 Mar 2025
Millwall1 - 0Stoke City
9 Nov 2024
Stoke City1 - 1Millwall
23 Dec 2023
Stoke City0 - 0Millwall
26 Aug 2023
Millwall1 - 0Stoke City
25 Feb 2023
Stoke City0 - 1Millwall

Cards & Goal Timing — Season

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Stoke City

(43 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards
Penalties Won

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	8	17%	7	14%
16-30'	5	11%	4	8%
31-45'	10	21%	7	14%
46-60'	11	23%	13	26%
61-75'	5	11%	5	10%
76-90'	8	17%	14	28%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Millwall

(43 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	5	9%	7	14%
16-30'	8	15%	6	12%
31-45'	9	16%	5	10%
46-60'	8	15%	12	24%
61-75'	9	16%	5	10%
76-90'	16	29%	15	30%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Booking Points Analysis

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

	Stoke City	Millwall
Avg Booking Pts / Game
Red Card Probability

Combined Match Estimate

Most Booking Points

Red Card in Match

Compare the combined estimate against the bookmaker line. E.g. if the line is 37.5 and the estimate is 42.0, the data suggests Over.

Team Insights — Season

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Referee:

Stoke City

(43 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Millwall

(43 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Corner Trends — Stoke City vs Millwall

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Season data (43 matches)

Season corner data suggests these sides combine for 5.54 corners per match.

Home Corners / Match

5.60

Away Corners / Match

5.47

Stoke City(17)

Season stats (43 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (43 matches)

	Overall
AVG Corners
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5

Millwall(3)

Season stats (43 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (43 matches)

	Overall
AVG Corners
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5

All Markets

RESULTS

4 categories

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

2 categories

RESULT BTTS

GOALS

3 categories

Line 0.5

Line 1.5

Line 2.5

Line 3.5

Line 4.5

Line 5.5

CORNERS

1 categories

Line 6.5

Line 7.5

Line 8.5

Line 9.5

Line 10.5

Line 11.5

GOALSCORERS

3 categories

ANYTIMEGOALSCORER

FIRSTGOALSCORER

LASTGOALSCORER

OTHER

12 categories

AWAY HIGHEST HALF

AWAY SCORE 1H

AWAY SCORE 2H

CARDS AWAY TOTLine 1.5

CARDS HOME TOTLine 1.5

CARDSTOTALLine 3.5

HOME HIGHEST HALF

HOME SCORE 1H

HOME SCORE 2H

SCORER ANY AWAY

SCORER FIRST AWAY

SCORER LAST AWAY

••••

Markets:••••

Current Form

Stoke City(17)

Form - Home

2.20

WDWWD

Blackburn(21)1 - 1

Sheffield Wednesday(24)2 - 0

Watford(14)3 - 1

Ipswich(2)3 - 3

Oxford United(22)2 - 1

Millwall(3)

Form - Away

2.20

WWDWD

West Brom(20)0 - 0

Middlesbrough(5)2 - 1

Ipswich(2)1 - 1

Hull City(6)3 - 1

Preston(16)2 - 0

Teams are evenly matched in terms of Points Per Game

Team Injuries

Stoke City

8 out

A. Ampah

Hamstring Injury

Missing Fixture

V. Johansson

Shoulder Injury

Missing Fixture

T. Rigo

Injury

Missing Fixture

M. Talovierov

Ankle Injury

Missing Fixture

J. Tchamadeu

Hamstring Injury

Missing Fixture

B. Wilmot

Calf Injury

Missing Fixture

B. Gibson

Injury

Questionable

B. Lawal

Injury

Questionable

Millwall

5 out

L. Jensen

Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

D. Kelly

Hamstring Injury

Missing Fixture

M. Luongo

Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

A. Doughty

Calf Injury

Questionable

B. Mitchell

Inactive

Questionable

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