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BRAZILIAN SERIE A

2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Match Centre

SantosvsFluminense

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Only 2 picks with sufficient edge found

TOP PICK

Match Result

Home

2.80

Betfred

Edge capped

Model

39.50%

Implied

34.50%

Edge

5.00%

Kelly

5.9%

Stake

£2.94

Model used 39.50% vs implied 34.50%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

2.30

Betfred

Model

45.93%

Implied

42.07%

Edge

3.87%

Kelly

4.3%

Stake

£2.17

Model used 45.93% vs implied 42.07%

No additional
value picks

Match Result

Total Goals

BTTS

Total Goals (1.5)

Total Goals (3.5)

Corners (9.5)

Match Videos

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Head to Head — Santos vs Fluminense

Santos

10% wins

Total meetings

Fluminense

50% wins

Santos 1 win (10%)Draws 4 (40%)Fluminense 5 wins (50%)

Santos vs Fluminense's head-to-head record across the last 10 meetings shows that Santos has won 1 time, while Fluminense has won 5 times and 4 draws. Santos has scored 6 goals and Fluminense has scored 12 goals in those games, an average of 1.80 total goals per match.

50% Over 1.5 Goals

5/10 matches

30% Over 2.5 Goals

3/10 matches

20% Over 3.5 Goals

2/10 matches

30% Both Teams To Score

3/10 matches

30% Santos Clean Sheets

3/10 matches

60% Fluminense Clean Sheets

6/10 matches

Recent Meetings

Latest: 31 Aug 2025

31 Aug 2025
Santos0 - 0Fluminense
13 Apr 2025
Fluminense1 - 0Santos
29 Nov 2023
Santos0 - 3Fluminense
29 Jul 2023
Fluminense1 - 0Santos
1 Aug 2022
Santos2 - 2Fluminense
9 Apr 2022
Fluminense0 - 0Santos

Cards & Goal Timing — Season

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Santos

(11 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards
Penalties Won

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	0	0%	1	7%
16-30'	3	20%	3	20%
31-45'	3	20%	1	7%
46-60'	3	20%	0	-
61-75'	3	20%	5	33%
76-90'	3	20%	5	33%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Fluminense

(11 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	2	11%	4	31%
16-30'	4	22%	0	-
31-45'	3	17%	0	-
46-60'	4	22%	2	15%
61-75'	1	6%	3	23%
76-90'	4	22%	4	31%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Booking Points Analysis

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

	Santos	Fluminense
Avg Booking Pts / Game
Red Card Probability

Combined Match Estimate

Most Booking Points

Red Card in Match

Compare the combined estimate against the bookmaker line. E.g. if the line is 37.5 and the estimate is 42.0, the data suggests Over.

Over/Under Cards — Per Match History

Santos (11 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Fluminense (11 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Booking Points Distribution (Betfred Ranges)

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

Range	Santos	Fluminense
0–15 pts
20–35 pts
40–55 pts
60–75 pts
80+ pts

Shot Analysis — Season

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Santos

(11 matches)

3.0

Shots on Target

24%

Shot Accuracy

1.0

xG per Game

48%

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game	3.0	4.2
Total Shots / Game	12.7	12.8
Shots Inside Box / Game	7.1	7.4
xG / Game	1.0	1.2
Offsides / Game	2.1	1.5
Fouls / Game	12.7	13.6

Fluminense

(11 matches)

6.2

Shots on Target

40%

Shot Accuracy

1.5

xG per Game

60%

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game	6.2	4.6
Total Shots / Game	15.6	12.0
Shots Inside Box / Game	9.1	7.7
xG / Game	1.5	1.1
Offsides / Game	1.6	1.5
Fouls / Game	14.0	11.7

Combined Match Analysis

Expected Total Shots

Expected Shots on Target

Combined xG2.5

Shot DominanceFluminense

xG DominanceFluminense

Expected Offsides

Higher combined shots on target suggest more goal-scoring opportunities. Compare combined xG against the bookmaker's total goals line for value.

Team Insights — Season

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Santos

(11 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Fluminense

(11 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Per-Half Analysis — Season

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Santos(11 matches)Stronger 2nd Half

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Fluminense(11 matches)Balanced

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Corner Trends — Santos vs Fluminense

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Season data (11 matches)

Season corner data suggests these sides combine for 5.82 corners per match.

Home Corners / Match

5.55

Away Corners / Match

6.09

Santos(15)

Season stats (11 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (11 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

Fluminense(4)

Season stats (11 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (11 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

Santos recent corners

Atletico-MG(8)-
Flamengo(2)-
Remo(18)-
Cruzeiro(17)-
Internacional(14)-

Fluminense recent corners

Flamengo(2)-
Coritiba(7)-
Corinthians(16)-
Atletico-MG(8)-
Vasco DA Gama(13)-

All Markets

RESULTS

4 categories

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

2 categories

RESULT BTTS

GOALS

3 categories

Line 0.5

Line 1.5

Line 2.5

Line 3.5

Line 4.5

Line 5.5

CORNERS

1 categories

Line 8.5

Line 9.5

Line 10.5

Line 11.5

Line 12.5

Line 13.5

GOALSCORERS

3 categories

ANYTIMEGOALSCORER

FIRSTGOALSCORER

LASTGOALSCORER

OTHER

9 categories

AWAY HIGHEST HALF

AWAY SCORE 1H

AWAY SCORE 2H

HOME HIGHEST HALF

HOME SCORE 1H

HOME SCORE 2H

SCORER ANY AWAY

SCORER FIRST AWAY

SCORER LAST AWAY

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	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	2.73	2.17	3.40
Under 0.5	9%	0%	20%
Under 1.5	18%	17%	20%
Under 2.5	45%	67%	20%
Under 3.5	73%	100%	40%
Under 4.5	91%	100%	80%
Under 5.5	91%	100%	80%

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	2.82	2.83	2.80
Under 0.5	0%	0%	0%
Under 1.5	18%	33%	0%
Under 2.5	45%	33%	60%
Under 3.5	73%	67%	80%
Under 4.5	82%	83%	80%
Under 5.5	100%	100%	100%

Line	Over %	Under %	Avg Goals
Over/Under 1.5	82%	18%	2.8 goals/match
Over/Under 2.5	55%	45%
Over/Under 3.5	27%	73%
Over/Under 4.5	14%	86%

Match Statistics

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Match Videos