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BRAZILIAN SERIE A

2026-04-18 21:30 UTC

Match Centre

Vasco DA GamavsSao Paulo

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Only 1 pick with sufficient edge found

TOP PICK

Match Result

Home

2.38

Betfred

Model

44.54%

Implied

40.98%

Edge

3.56%

Kelly

4.4%

Stake

£2.17

Model used 44.54% vs implied 40.98%

No additional
value picks

Match Result

Total Goals

BTTS

Total Goals (1.5)

Total Goals (3.5)

Corners (9.5)

Match Videos

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Head to Head — Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo

Vasco DA Gama

30% wins

Total meetings

Sao Paulo

50% wins

Vasco DA Gama 3 wins (30%)Draws 2 (20%)Sao Paulo 5 wins (50%)

Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo's head-to-head record across the last 10 meetings shows that Vasco DA Gama has won 3 times, while Sao Paulo has won 5 times and 2 draws. Vasco DA Gama has scored 13 goals and Sao Paulo has scored 17 goals in those games, an average of 3.00 total goals per match.

90% Over 1.5 Goals

9/10 matches

60% Over 2.5 Goals

6/10 matches

30% Over 3.5 Goals

3/10 matches

60% Both Teams To Score

6/10 matches

10% Vasco DA Gama Clean Sheets

1/10 matches

40% Sao Paulo Clean Sheets

4/10 matches

Recent Meetings

Latest: 2 Nov 2025

2 Nov 2025
Vasco DA Gama0 - 2Sao Paulo
13 Jun 2025
Sao Paulo1 - 3Vasco DA Gama
17 Oct 2024
Sao Paulo3 - 0Vasco DA Gama
23 Jun 2024
Vasco DA Gama4 - 1Sao Paulo
7 Oct 2023
Vasco DA Gama0 - 0Sao Paulo
20 May 2023
Sao Paulo4 - 2Vasco DA Gama

Cards & Goal Timing — Season

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Vasco DA Gama

(11 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	1	6%	2	13%
16-30'	2	11%	2	13%
31-45'	3	17%	2	13%
46-60'	5	28%	2	13%
61-75'	3	17%	3	20%
76-90'	4	22%	4	27%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Sao Paulo

(11 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards
Penalties Won

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	1	7%	1	11%
16-30'	2	13%	1	11%
31-45'	0	0%	3	33%
46-60'	5	33%	2	22%
61-75'	5	33%	1	11%
76-90'	2	13%	1	11%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Booking Points Analysis

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

	Vasco DA Gama	Sao Paulo
Avg Booking Pts / Game
Red Card Probability

Combined Match Estimate

Most Booking Points

Red Card in Match

Compare the combined estimate against the bookmaker line. E.g. if the line is 37.5 and the estimate is 42.0, the data suggests Over.

Over/Under Cards — Per Match History

Vasco DA Gama (10 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Sao Paulo (10 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Booking Points Distribution (Betfred Ranges)

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

Range	Vasco DA Gama	Sao Paulo
0–15 pts
20–35 pts
40–55 pts
60–75 pts
80+ pts

Shot Analysis — Season

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Vasco DA Gama

(11 matches)

5.3

Shots on Target

31%

Shot Accuracy

1.6

xG per Game

52%

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game	5.3	4.0
Total Shots / Game	17.2	12.4
Shots Inside Box / Game	9.6	6.5
xG / Game	1.6	0.8
Offsides / Game	1.4	1.2
Fouls / Game	11.5	12.7

Sao Paulo

(11 matches)

3.8

Shots on Target

34%

Shot Accuracy

1.2

xG per Game

56%

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game	3.8	3.5
Total Shots / Game	11.3	11.3
Shots Inside Box / Game	7.1	6.0
xG / Game	1.2	1.0
Offsides / Game	1.5	0.7
Fouls / Game	15.3	14.3

Combined Match Analysis

Expected Total Shots

Expected Shots on Target

Combined xG2.8

Shot DominanceVasco DA Gama

xG DominanceVasco DA Gama

Expected Offsides

Higher combined shots on target suggest more goal-scoring opportunities. Compare combined xG against the bookmaker's total goals line for value.

Team Insights — Season

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Vasco DA Gama

(11 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Sao Paulo

(11 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Per-Half Analysis — Season

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Vasco DA Gama(11 matches)Stronger 2nd Half

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Sao Paulo(11 matches)Stronger 2nd Half

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Corner Trends — Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo

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Season data (11 matches)

Season corner data suggests these sides combine for 5.68 corners per match.

Home Corners / Match

5.45

Away Corners / Match

5.91

Vasco DA Gama(13)

Season stats (11 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (11 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

Sao Paulo(3)

Season stats (11 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (11 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

Vasco DA Gama recent corners

Remo(18)-
Botafogo(11)-
Coritiba(7)-
Gremio(12)-
Fluminense(4)-

Sao Paulo recent corners

Vitoria(10)-
Cruzeiro(17)-
Internacional(14)-
Palmeiras(1)-
Atletico-MG(8)-

All Markets

RESULTS

4 categories

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

2 categories

RESULT BTTS

GOALS

3 categories

Line 0.5

Line 1.5

Line 2.5

Line 3.5

Line 4.5

Line 5.5

CORNERS

1 categories

Line 8.5

Line 9.5

Line 10.5

Line 11.5

Line 12.5

Line 13.5

GOALSCORERS

3 categories

ANYTIMEGOALSCORER

FIRSTGOALSCORER

LASTGOALSCORER

OTHER

9 categories

AWAY HIGHEST HALF

AWAY SCORE 1H

AWAY SCORE 2H

HOME HIGHEST HALF

HOME SCORE 1H

HOME SCORE 2H

SCORER ANY AWAY

SCORER FIRST AWAY

SCORER LAST AWAY

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	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	3.00	2.83	3.20
Under 0.5	0%	0%	0%
Under 1.5	9%	17%	0%
Under 2.5	36%	33%	40%
Under 3.5	82%	83%	80%
Under 4.5	82%	83%	80%
Under 5.5	91%	100%	80%

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	2.18	2.60	1.83
Under 0.5	0%	0%	0%
Under 1.5	27%	20%	33%
Under 2.5	73%	60%	83%
Under 3.5	91%	80%	100%
Under 4.5	91%	80%	100%
Under 5.5	100%	100%	100%

Line	Over %	Under %	Avg Goals
Over/Under 1.5	82%	18%	2.6 goals/match
Over/Under 2.5	45%	55%
Over/Under 3.5	14%	86%
Over/Under 4.5	14%	86%

Match Statistics

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Match Videos

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