••••

Markets:••••

PRIMEIRA LIGA

2026-04-12 17:00 UTC

Match Centre

BenficavsNacional

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Only 2 picks with sufficient edge found

TOP PICK

Total Goals

Over 3.5

1.95

Betfred

Edge capped

Model

55.00%

Implied

50.00%

Edge

5.00%

Kelly

7.6%

Stake

£3.81

Model used 55.00% vs implied 50.00%

BTTS

Yes

2.06

Betfred

Edge capped

Model

51.63%

Implied

46.63%

Edge

5.00%

Kelly

6.0%

Stake

£3.00

Model used 51.63% vs implied 46.63%

No additional
value picks

Match Result

Total Goals

BTTS

Total Goals (1.5)

Total Goals (3.5)

Corners (9.5)

Match Videos

💬Tipsters Comments

💡 Log in to share your tip on this match.

💬

No tips yet. Be the first!

Head to Head — Benfica vs Nacional

Benfica

90% wins

Total meetings

Nacional

0% wins

Benfica 9 wins (90%)Draws 1 (10%)Nacional 0 wins (0%)

Benfica vs Nacional's head-to-head record across the last 10 meetings shows that Benfica has won 9 times, while Nacional has not recorded a win and 1 draw. Benfica has scored 35 goals and Nacional has scored 5 goals in those games, an average of 4.00 total goals per match.

100% Over 1.5 Goals

10/10 matches

80% Over 2.5 Goals

8/10 matches

50% Over 3.5 Goals

5/10 matches

50% Both Teams To Score

5/10 matches

50% Benfica Clean Sheets

5/10 matches

0% Nacional Clean Sheets

0/10 matches

Recent Meetings

Latest: 29 Nov 2025

29 Nov 2025
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
8 Mar 2025
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
19 Dec 2024
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
11 May 2021
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
25 Jan 2021
Benfica1 - 1Nacional
10 Feb 2019
Benfica10 - 0Nacional

H2H Match Stats (1 matches with data)

You need to be logged in to see this data. Register or login now – it's quick and easy!

Avg Corners

Avg Yellows

Avg Reds

Avg Booking Pts

H2H Stat	Count	%
Over 9.5 Corners
Over 10.5 Corners
Over 2.5 Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Red Card in Match

Cards & Goal Timing — Season

You need to be logged in to see this data. Register or login now – it's quick and easy!

Benfica

(28 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards
Penalties Won

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	4	7%	4	20%
16-30'	10	18%	2	10%
31-45'	12	21%	5	25%
46-60'	12	21%	3	15%
61-75'	7	12%	1	5%
76-90'	12	21%	5	25%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Nacional

(28 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards
Penalties Won

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	3	10%	6	15%
16-30'	3	10%	1	3%
31-45'	6	19%	7	18%
46-60'	6	19%	7	18%
61-75'	6	19%	7	18%
76-90'	7	23%	11	28%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Booking Points Analysis

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

	Benfica	Nacional
Avg Booking Pts / Game
Red Card Probability

Combined Match Estimate

Most Booking Points

Red Card in Match

Compare the combined estimate against the bookmaker line. E.g. if the line is 37.5 and the estimate is 42.0, the data suggests Over.

Over/Under Cards — Per Match History

Benfica (26 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Nacional (28 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Booking Points Distribution (Betfred Ranges)

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

Range	Benfica	Nacional
0–15 pts
20–35 pts
40–55 pts
60–75 pts
80+ pts

Shot Analysis — Season

You need to be logged in to see this data. Register or login now – it's quick and easy!

Benfica

(27 matches)

Shots on Target

Shot Accuracy

xG per Game

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game
Total Shots / Game
Shots Inside Box / Game
xG / Game
Offsides / Game

Nacional

(28 matches)

Shots on Target

Shot Accuracy

xG per Game

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game
Total Shots / Game
Shots Inside Box / Game
xG / Game
Offsides / Game

Combined Match Analysis

Expected Total Shots

Expected Shots on Target

Combined xG

Shot Dominance

xG Dominance

Higher combined shots on target suggest more goal-scoring opportunities. Compare combined xG against the bookmaker's total goals line for value.

Team Insights — Season

You need to be logged in to see this data. Register or login now – it's quick and easy!

Benfica

(28 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Nacional

(28 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Per-Half Analysis — Season

You need to be logged in to see this data. Register or login now – it's quick and easy!

Benfica(15 matches)Stronger 2nd Half

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Nacional(15 matches)Stronger 2nd Half

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Corner Trends — Benfica vs Nacional

You need to be logged in to see this data. Register or login now – it's quick and easy!

Season data (28 matches)

Season corner data suggests these sides combine for corners per match.

Home Corners / Match

Away Corners / Match

Benfica(3)

Season stats (28 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (27 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

Nacional(15)

Season stats (28 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (28 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

Benfica recent corners

Casa Pia(16)-
Guimaraes(8)-
Arouca(11)-
FC Porto(1)-
GIL Vicente(6)-

Nacional recent corners

Estrela(14)-
Famalicao(5)-
Estoril(7)-
Moreirense(9)-
SC Braga(4)-

All Markets

RESULTS

4 categories

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

2 categories

RESULT BTTS

GOALS

3 categories

Line 0.5

Line 1.5

Line 2.5

Line 3.5

Line 4.5

Line 5.5

CORNERS

1 categories

Line 8.5

Line 9.5

Line 10.5

Line 11.5

Line 12.5

OTHER

6 categories

AWAY HIGHEST HALF

AWAY SCORE 1H

AWAY SCORE 2H

HOME HIGHEST HALF

HOME SCORE 1H

HOME SCORE 2H

Play Responsibly

Stay in control. Betting should always be fun.

If gambling stops feeling like entertainment, take a break. We partner with trusted UK organisations that provide free, confidential help whenever you need it.

18+ | Please gamble responsibly

National Gambling Helpline
Free, confidential support 24/7 via phone or live chat.
Call 0808 8020 133

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	2.75	3.07	2.43
Over 0.5	93%	100%	86%
Over 1.5	86%	93%	79%
Over 2.5	68%	71%	64%
Over 3.5	25%	36%	14%
Over 4.5	4%	7%	0%
Over 5.5	0%	0%	0%

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	2.75	3.07	2.43
Under 0.5	7%	0%	14%
Under 1.5	14%	7%	21%
Under 2.5	32%	29%	36%
Under 3.5	75%	64%	86%
Under 4.5	96%	93%	100%
Under 5.5	100%	100%	100%

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	2.50	2.86	2.14
Over 0.5	96%	93%	100%
Over 1.5	71%	71%	71%
Over 2.5	46%	57%	36%
Over 3.5	21%	36%	7%
Over 4.5	11%	21%	0%
Over 5.5	4%	7%	0%

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	2.50	2.86	2.14
Under 0.5	4%	7%	0%
Under 1.5	29%	29%	29%
Under 2.5	54%	43%	64%
Under 3.5	79%	64%	93%
Under 4.5	89%	79%	100%
Under 5.5	96%	93%	100%

Line	Over %	Under %	Avg Goals
Over/Under 1.5	79%	21%	2.6 goals/match
Over/Under 2.5	57%	43%
Over/Under 3.5	23%	77%
Over/Under 4.5	7%	93%

Match Statistics

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Match Videos