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BUNDESLIGA

2026-04-11 16:30 UTC

Match Centre

FC St. PaulivsBayern München

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Match Result

Draw

5.64

Betfred

Model

18.95%

Implied

17.51%

Edge

1.44%

Kelly

1.5%

Stake

£0.74

Model used 18.95% vs implied 17.51%

TOP PICK

Total Goals

Over 2.5

1.55

Betfred

Edge capped

Model

67.83%

Implied

62.83%

Edge

5.00%

Kelly

9.3%

Stake

£4.66

Model used 67.83% vs implied 62.83%

BTTS

Yes

1.83

Betfred

Edge capped

Model

57.22%

Implied

52.22%

Edge

5.00%

Kelly

5.7%

Stake

£2.83

Model used 57.22% vs implied 52.22%

Match Result

Total Goals

BTTS

Total Goals (1.5)

Total Goals (3.5)

Corners (9.5)

Match Videos

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Head to Head — FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München

FC St. Pauli

0% wins

Total meetings

Bayern München

100% wins

FC St. Pauli 0 wins (0%)Draws 0 (0%)Bayern München 5 wins (100%)

FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München's head-to-head record across the last 5 meetings shows that FC St. Pauli has not recorded a win, while Bayern München has won 5 times. FC St. Pauli has scored 4 goals and Bayern München has scored 18 goals in those games, an average of 4.40 total goals per match.

80% Over 1.5 Goals

4/5 matches

80% Over 2.5 Goals

4/5 matches

60% Over 3.5 Goals

3/5 matches

60% Both Teams To Score

3/5 matches

0% FC St. Pauli Clean Sheets

0/5 matches

40% Bayern München Clean Sheets

2/5 matches

Recent Meetings

Latest: 29 Nov 2025

29 Nov 2025
Bayern München3 - 1FC St. Pauli
29 Mar 2025
Bayern München3 - 2FC St. Pauli
9 Nov 2024
FC St. Pauli0 - 1Bayern München
7 May 2011
FC St. Pauli1 - 8Bayern München
11 Dec 2010
Bayern München3 - 0FC St. Pauli

H2H Match Stats (1 matches with data)

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Avg Corners

Avg Yellows

Avg Reds

Avg Booking Pts

H2H Stat	Count	%
Over 9.5 Corners
Over 10.5 Corners
Over 2.5 Cards
Over 3.5 Cards
Red Card in Match

Cards & Goal Timing — Season

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FC St. Pauli

(28 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards
Penalties Won

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	1	4%	4	9%
16-30'	3	12%	3	7%
31-45'	7	28%	10	22%
46-60'	5	20%	11	24%
61-75'	4	16%	8	18%
76-90'	5	20%	9	20%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Bayern München

(28 matches)

Card Timing — Season

Interval	Yellow	%	Red	%
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90'
91-105'
Total

Summary & Penalties

	Total	Per Game
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
All Cards
Penalties Won

Goal Timing — When They Score & Concede

Interval	Scored	%	Conceded	%
0-15'	5	5%	5	17%
16-30'	17	18%	4	13%
31-45'	18	19%	5	17%
46-60'	10	10%	4	13%
61-75'	17	18%	3	10%
76-90'	30	31%	9	30%
91-105'	0	0%	0	-

Booking Points Analysis

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

	FC St. Pauli	Bayern München
Avg Booking Pts / Game
Red Card Probability

Combined Match Estimate

Most Booking Points

Red Card in Match

Compare the combined estimate against the bookmaker line. E.g. if the line is 37.5 and the estimate is 42.0, the data suggests Over.

Over/Under Cards — Per Match History

FC St. Pauli (28 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Bayern München (26 matches)

Line	Yellow O/U	All Cards O/U
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Over 4.5
Over 5.5

Booking Points Distribution (Betfred Ranges)

Yellow = 10pts | Red = 25pts

Range	FC St. Pauli	Bayern München
0–15 pts
20–35 pts
40–55 pts
60–75 pts
80+ pts

Shot Analysis — Season

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FC St. Pauli

(28 matches)

Shots on Target

Shot Accuracy

xG per Game

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game
Total Shots / Game
Shots Inside Box / Game
xG / Game
Offsides / Game

Bayern München

(28 matches)

Shots on Target

Shot Accuracy

xG per Game

Avg Possession

	For	Against
Shots on Target / Game
Total Shots / Game
Shots Inside Box / Game
xG / Game
Offsides / Game

Combined Match Analysis

Expected Total Shots

Expected Shots on Target

Combined xG

Shot Dominance

xG Dominance

Higher combined shots on target suggest more goal-scoring opportunities. Compare combined xG against the bookmaker's total goals line for value.

Team Insights — Season

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FC St. Pauli

(28 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Worst Home Loss

Worst Away Loss

Bayern München

(28 matches)

Best Streaks

Win Streak

Draw Streak

Loss Streak

	Home	Away	Total	%
Clean Sheets
Failed to Score

Biggest Results

Best Home Win

Best Away Win

Worst Home Loss

Per-Half Analysis — Season

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FC St. Pauli(15 matches)Balanced

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Bayern München(15 matches)Stronger 2nd Half

	1st Half	2nd Half
Goals Scored / Game
Goals Conceded / Game
Total Cards / Game
BTTS in Half

Corner Trends — FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München

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Season data (28 matches)

Season corner data suggests these sides combine for corners per match.

Home Corners / Match

Away Corners / Match

FC St. Pauli(16)

Season stats (28 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (28 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

Bayern München(1)

Season stats (28 matches)

Season Avg Corners
Season Corners For
Season Corners Against

Over Corners — Full-Time (28 matches)

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Corners
Over 7.5
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Over 10.5
Over 11.5
Over 12.5

Under Corners — Full-Time

	Overall	At Home	At Away
Under 7.5
Under 8.5
Under 9.5
Under 10.5
Under 11.5
Under 12.5

FC St. Pauli recent corners

Union Berlin(10)-
SC Freiburg(8)-
Borussia Mönchengladbach(13)-
Eintracht Frankfurt(7)-
1899 Hoffenheim(5)-

Bayern München recent corners

SC Freiburg(8)-
Union Berlin(10)-
Bayer Leverkusen(6)-
Borussia Mönchengladbach(13)-
Borussia Dortmund(2)-

All Markets

RESULTS

4 categories

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

2 categories

RESULT BTTS

GOALS

3 categories

Line 0.5

Line 1.5

Line 2.5

Line 3.5

Line 4.5

Line 5.5

CORNERS

1 categories

Line 7.5

Line 8.5

Line 9.5

Line 10.5

Line 11.5

Line 12.5

GOALSCORERS

3 categories

ANYTIMEGOALSCORER

FIRSTGOALSCORER

LASTGOALSCORER

OTHER

9 categories

AWAY HIGHEST HALF

AWAY SCORE 1H

AWAY SCORE 2H

HOME HIGHEST HALF

HOME SCORE 1H

HOME SCORE 2H

SCORER ANY AWAY

SCORER FIRST AWAY

SCORER LAST AWAY

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	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	2.50	2.62	2.40
Under 0.5	11%	15%	7%
Under 1.5	21%	23%	20%
Under 2.5	46%	31%	60%
Under 3.5	82%	85%	80%
Under 4.5	93%	92%	93%
Under 5.5	96%	92%	100%

	Overall	At Home	At Away
AVG Goals	4.54	4.93	4.14
Under 0.5	0%	0%	0%
Under 1.5	0%	0%	0%
Under 2.5	4%	0%	7%
Under 3.5	25%	21%	29%
Under 4.5	54%	50%	57%
Under 5.5	82%	71%	93%

Line	Over %	Under %	Avg Goals
Over/Under 1.5	89%	11%	3.5 goals/match
Over/Under 2.5	75%	25%
Over/Under 3.5	46%	54%
Over/Under 4.5	27%	73%

Match Statistics

Top 3 Model-Backed Picks

Match Videos

💬Tipsters Comments